Soldiers in face masks and face shields and gloves

Health security may become core task of militaries.

A New Normal

April 2021, Number 11.02

“Viruses never die. And they don’t ever really go away. Variants of the Spanish flu have been with us for more than 100 years, and the same can be expected of the COVID- 19 virus. It will, like its Spanish cousin, mutate many more times, become more or less infectious and is highly likely to become endemic, which is what the Spanish flu has done.

The advent of vaccinations, and the remarkably quick process of developing them, bode well for a return to a semblance of normality, though it is highly likely that annual booster vaccinations will become part of our future, just as they have with the influenza. We can expect that the availability of such vaccines will also become far more prevalent.

What are the security implications of such an endemic disease? It is difficult to say because we don’t know how virulent and lethal it will be in a year’s — or a decade’s — time, but it seems safe to say that we will learn to live with it. It’s unlikely that life will return to normal in the near future, but some sense of normality is likely to return in the next year or so…”

Excerpt from John L. Clarke, “A New Normal,” per Concordiam: Journal of European Security Defense Issues 11, No. 2, 2021: 62-63.

This article reflects the views of the author and are not necessarily the official policy of the United States, Germany, or any other governments.