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Chinese temple in Moscow

Likely scenarios and their consequences

Does Russia’s Future Include China?

July 2020, Number 10.03

How much anger those European gentlemen have accumulated! proclaims Andrei Danilovich Komiaga, a loyal oprichnik (guardsman) of the new czar. For decades they have sucked our gas without thinking of the hardship it brought our hardworking people. What astonishing news they report! Oh dear, it’s cold in Nice again! Gentlemen, you’ll have to get used to eating cold foie gras at least a couple of times a week. Bon appétit! China turned out to be smarter than you...

At least, that is the Russian (and Chinese) future that the post-Soviet provocateur Vladimir Sorokin depicts in his novel, Day of the Oprichnik. Set in the New Russia of 2028, the czarist regime is back in full swing and has erected a big, beautiful wall on its border with Europe to keep out the “stench [of] unbelievers, from the damned, cyberpunks … Marxists, fascists, pluralists, and atheists!” Russia is rich and awash in Chinese technology but inward looking, while reverting to the feudal structures of Ivan the Terrible (or the Formidable as this new generation of Russian leaders might have it)...”

Excerpt from Drew Ninnis, “Does Russia’s Future Include China?” per Concordiam: Journal of European Security Defense Issues  10, No. 3, 2020: 48-55.

Dr. Drew Ninnis is the research and liaison advisor to the chief of the Australian Defence Force. He has worked as an intelligence analyst and in defense capability development and has taught at the Australian National University. He holds a Ph.D. in philosophy from the Australian National University and attended the Marshall Center’s Program on Applied Security Studies in 2013.

This article reflects the views of the author and are not necessarily the official policy of the United States, Germany, or any other governments.