“The success of military operations in Afghanistan and Pakistan against al-Qaida and the Taliban is helping drive a wedge between the two insurgent groups. That’s a good thing, counterterrorism officials say.
But there is a downside. Some insurgents packed up and moved elsewhere to continue their militant actions. The Taliban expansion into the once relatively calm northern Afghanistan is the main example.
European Union and Central Asian nations worry the exodus of militants will cause problems in areas where extremists have had little or no major influence in the past. That probability is reason for EU concern, but even more so in Russia and Central Asia.
“If the conflict against the Taliban … deepens in Afghanistan, then toward which direction would they escape? God save us, but they would [move] toward Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan,” Kyrgyz President Kurmanbek Bakiev said in a June 2009 Radio Free Europe report.
Adding to the concern is the possibility the Taliban could move to attack U.S. and NATO forces along the Northern Distribution Network. The supply line stretches from Europe to the Caucasus, into Central Asia and into Afghanistan. Container carriers using the long route are susceptible to attack...”
Excerpt from per Concordiam Staff, “Afghanistan’s Spillover,” per Concordiam: Journal of European Security Defense Issues 1, No. 1, 2010: 49-51.
This article reflects the views of the author and are not necessarily the official policy of the United States, Germany, or any other governments.