“A resilient, collective defense is the cornerstone of NATO, but if we define NATO territorial security as “homeland” defense, we can borrow three concepts from U.S. homeland security: contain1 (limit the threat potential),2 absorb (mitigate the consequences of the threat) and recover3 (repairing any system targeted by an enemy). But how can NATO implement such an approach?
Foresight, Scalability and Feedback
In line with the above-mentioned dimensions of resilience, I have tried to identify some current evolutions that could be used as an “anchor” point for resilience development. Therefore, I will examine foresight as a key to limit threat potential, scalability as a way to mitigate the consequences and feedback as a means for rebuilding a targeted system.
Between 2008 and 2009, we have witnessed the first organization-level foresight4 exercise within NATO, in the framework of the Multiple Futures Project. In the effort to elaborate on the previously mentioned assessment, Allied Command Transformation took two views into consideration: one with a focus on the future of the security environment and the other imagining plausible NATO futures...”
Excerpt from Costinel Anuta, “NATO 3.0,” per Concordiam: Journal of European Security Defense Issues 2, No. 3, 2011: 34-37.
Costinel Anuta is an analyst in the Romanian Armed Forces. He has worked in different positions within the Romanian Armed Forces and Ministry of Defence. He is a 2008 graduate of the Marshall Center’s Program in Advanced Security Studies. He earned two bachelor’s degrees and a master’s degree from Romania’s National School of Political Studies and Public Administration.
This article reflects the views of the author and are not necessarily the official policy of the United States, Germany, or any other governments.